Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1993

   Mesoscale Discussion 1993
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1008 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2022

   Areas affected...southeast GA into northern FL

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 301608Z - 301715Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Locally gusty winds may occur across parts of southeast GA
   into northern FL as thunderstorms continue to shift east/southeast
   the next few hours. However, severe potential will remain low and a
   downstream watch is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...A southeastward-advancing line of thunderstorms ahead
   of a surface cold front will continue through early afternoon. Only
   very minor destabilization is expected downstream from WW 577 across
   southeast GA into northern FL, with any stronger instability
   remaining offshore over the Gulf of Mexico. Visible satellite and
   radar imagery also indicates the outflow from ongoing convection has
   surged ahead of the line of thunderstorms, and will further inhibit
   intensity. As storms continue to move into weaker instability and
   decreasing vertical shear, gradual weakening may occur. While some
   locally gusty winds will remain possible in the short term, the
   overall severe threat is expected to remain low across southeast
   GA/northern FL and a downstream watch is not expected.

   ..Leitman.. 11/30/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   30878327 31188243 31348174 31288139 31078125 30718119
               30368124 30158143 29848196 29468271 29378334 29438389
               29678409 30018418 30228416 30788330 30878327